March 27, 2011
What I have been Tweeting
- Getting annoyed at the anti-nuclear movement for hyping Fukushima at the expense of 10,000 dead from earthquake and tsunami… #
- I need a word for the slow loss of hope. Like 'I will' is being taken away from you. I'm blessed to be away from there. http://t.co/vFXqQsc #
- Dear Android, few feature set great, UI great… FIX YOUR BATTERY LIFE #android #
March 21, 2011
If Only for Financial Reasons
February 19th I attended the Dave Ramsey Live event here in Oklahoma City. I can say that if you have been listening to Dave for any significant length of time, read any of his books, or attended his Financial Peace University; you are not likely to get any new information out of his live event. This really shouldn’t come as much of a surprise as Dave’s message is one of simplicity and focus over depth and sophistication. All that said, Dave’s events are fun. The event is as much a pep-rally as a financial training event. Here are the only two tidbits (seriously, there are the only two) that I had not heard from Dave during some previous encounter with his material:
If you walk around life without a plan, you will loose your money to those that do.
89% of people who own $1,000,000 homes do NOT make a million.
While the information I got from the Live Event wasn’t exactly new it does work and sometimes everyone can use a little pep-rally.
March 16, 2011
If you can prove you don’t need it
For years, I have watched the number of technology companies that operate without debt. The trend has always been popular among IT/IS companies because of the fundamental instability of intellectual property over hard assets. The logic is hard to argue with. If everything you “own” of value only has value as a direct cause of its perceived importance, then a shift of public perception doesn’t just hurt your brand, but fundamentally devalues your property.
Think of it this way; if tomorrow everyone stopped trusting Google for their search results (say, you know, someone found out their code sent all our personal information to the Chinese) then overnight they could loose 95% of their US market share. How much is Google’s code-base worth at that point? Currently Google is trading at 183 billion so a 95% loss in usage would probably translate to a market value somewhere south of 3-5 billion.
Physical assets don’t behave the same way. 1,000,000 lbs of steal doesn’t just loose 98% of its value overnight. Even in heavily over-inflated markets things like… I don’t know… homes, don’t loose 98% of their value. People may be upset that their 350,000 home is now worth 260,000 but just image if one NIGHT your $350,000 home was worth $7,000. THAT is the danger for companies whose primary assets are intellectual property.
I will give you another concrete example. Once upon a time there was a company who made A LOT of money in the energy trading business. Basically the company had sold off almost ALL its physical assets because they made so much money acting as a broker for energy trading. Think of them as the stock market (or eBay) for energy. The only problem was that their principal value lay in the fact that people trusted them, trusted their market, trusted their systems, and trusted their software. Then one day it was demonstrated that this company lied, cheated, and stole in almost every way you could imagine. Enron’s stock dropped from $90 to just under $1 in a matter of weeks. Basically, Enron’s major asset was trust, which it lost, and the company disintegrated overnight.
So how does a company protect itself from such quick devaluation? The same way you and I protect ourselves from economic turbulence; a big savings account and as little debt as possible. Microsoft, for example, is famous for “saving” close to a billion dollars a month… yes, a MONTH! At the same time, Microsoft doesn’t borrow money. I have been told, by people I put NO trust in to know this information, that they don’t even lease the copiers. Competitors who want to beat Microsoft can certainly do so, but it will not be an easy fight. That kind of financial position means that competitors must beat them dollar for dollar, customer for customer, year in and year out… for YEARS!
So who else do you know that doesn’t use debt? Here are are couple names both in IT and outside of it. Accenture, Activision Blizzard, Apple, Bed Bath & Beyond, Broadcom , Citrix Systems, eBay, Gap, Google, Infosys Technologies, Juniper Networks, Marvel Technology Group, Qualcomm, Research In Motion, Stryker, Texas Instruments, and Yahoo. Want to see something more amazing? Check out those companies 1, 3, and 5 year average returns compared to the market average!
I think it was Warren Buffett who said, “Leverage [i.e. debt] is a funny thing, people who don’t understand it shouldn’t use it; and those who do, don’t.”
March 13, 2011
What I have been Tweeting
- I think many teachers have missed the fact that union busting is education reform #
- Last beer before Easter… this is going to be a tough one. http://t.co/3KfwpDr #
- People confuse inequality, which is not a problem, with poverty which is! #
- Dr. Parnell is at the Drury-to-Drury event on Tulsa… We have a celebrity! #drury #